Forecasting & supply planning for global health

Health supply chains that adapt to the country.

Akiba Health is a modular, AI-augmented platform for forecasting and supply planning of vaccines and other health commodities. It replaces fragmented spreadsheets with one workflow, from setup to procurement to review.

Modernizes FSP4All, used in 20+ countries5 languagesRole-based access
Akiba Health dashboard showing FSP cycle progress, funding gap, stockout alerts and vaccine months of stock

The problem

Billions invested each year. Millions of children still missed.

Immunization programs run on tools that can't keep up. When forecasts miss, children miss doses, or vaccines expire on the shelf.

Inaccurate forecasts

Stockouts cause missed vaccinations and equity gaps. Overstock leads to costly expiry and waste.

Manual errors

Slow data entry, version-control failures and no real-time view of supply status.

Fragmented workflows

Planning, procurement and review run in disconnected silos with no integrated oversight.

Rigid tools

A new vaccine, device or protocol arrives, and current systems fall behind.

The insight

Even digital tools force countries to adapt to the tool. Akiba Health adapts to the country.

The platform

An adaptive platform, not a fixed product

Designed to fit each country's program today and to evolve as products, devices and protocols change.

Modular by design

Start with forecasting, add supply planning, procurement tracking and new commodities. No forced adoption.

AI-augmented development

New modules and country-specific adaptations ship in weeks, not years.

Locally grounded

Built with in-country teams and practitioners, so it reflects how countries actually work.

Adaptive over time

New products and protocols are absorbed by configuration, without a rewrite.

The product

One workflow, from setup to sign-off

Follow a national FSP cycle through Akiba Health. Select a stage to see the working prototype.

Programs and target groups setup with coverage and wastage rates for Penta, OPV and MR
FSP setupKenya example cycle · prototype data

Built on a proven foundation. Akiba Health translates the forecasting logic, supply planning rules and financial allocation models of FSP4All, the planning tool national immunization programs already use, into modern, adaptive software.

Working today

Built for the realities of country programs

6

Forecasting methods

Demographic, stratified by region, facility and district consumption, zero-dose catch-up and manual write-in, combined with confidence weights.

5

Languages

Every screen translatable, including right-to-left Arabic.

ENFRESPTAR
5

User roles

Platform and country admins, program managers, forecasting and procurement leads, each with scoped access.

5

Country setups

Currency, administrative divisions, fiscal year and terminology configured per country.

Who it's for

For the teams who plan, and the partners who fund

Ministries of Health & EPI teams

Plan with confidence, in your own terms

  • Configure your programs, vaccines, devices, supply chain tiers and funding sources.
  • Run multiple forecasting methods and lock one official forecast.
  • See months of stock, stockout risk and funding gaps before they happen.
  • Produce the UNICEF FSP submission directly from your plan.

Funders & global partners

An institution that outlives its founding grant

  • Comparable, sub-national planning data across countries.
  • One platform that extends from vaccines to HIV, malaria and family planning.
  • A path to self-sustaining subscription revenue by Year 3.
  • Led by the builder of the tool countries already trust.

The vision

Born from immunization. Built for every commodity.

Real-time visibility, sub-national equity targeting and a common standard, with country-specific configuration as a first-class feature.

DeployedExtendingPlanned

Three-year roadmap

From pilot to sustainable enterprise

A one-year pilot proves a tool works. A three-year enterprise proves it persists: countries renew, and the institution outlives its founding grant.

YEAR 1 · FOUNDATION & PILOT
1–2pilot countries
  • Core modular platform deployed for immunization
  • Forecasting and supply planning validated with real country data
  • First AI-augmented development cycles; revenue model tested
YEAR 2 · EXPANSION
+5–10countries
  • HIV, malaria and family planning modules
  • AI for forecast accuracy and buffer stock optimization
  • Enterprise structure formed; first paid subscriptions

Milestone: revenue-positive pilot cohort

YEAR 3 · SCALE
20+countries
  • Full commodity coverage
  • Prescriptive analytics for procurement and equity
  • Self-sustaining on subscription and value-based revenue

Milestone: a going concern without grant funding

Service model

Start free. Grow into what you need.

Freemium / low cost

Foundation

For countries that need a stable digital replacement for Excel, and pilot partners.

  • FSP setup & configuration
  • Single-method forecasting
  • Manual supply planning
  • Standard reports & exports
Subscription

Professional

For countries that need advanced, multi-method planning.

  • Multi-method forecasting & combination
  • Automated supply planning
  • Financial allocation
  • Procurement lifecycle tracking
  • Multi-language support
Subscription + usage

Enterprise / AI

For countries and organizations seeking maximum efficiency.

  • Everything in Professional
  • Predictive inventory optimization
  • Equity & risk scoring
  • Prescriptive procurement & automated re-forecasting

The team

Led by the person who built the original

Noel Watson

Noel Watson

CEO

  • Built UNICEF's FSP4All forecasting and supply planning tool, used in 20+ countries
  • Trained national immunization teams and ran the feedback loop for three years
  • PhD, Operations Management, The Wharton School; founder of Ops Mend
Mohan Balachandran

Mohan Balachandran

CTO

  • 25+ years across healthcare, data and technology
  • IT architecture, interoperability, analytics and behavioral science
  • Founded multiple health IT companies; supply chain IT background at i2
Abhijit Bhattacharya

Abhijit Bhattacharya

Engineering

  • Co-founder of Rapidi2i, bespoke decision-support software
  • Former McKinsey consultant
  • 15+ years in technology strategy, development and delivery

Not a greenfield concept. A modernization of a proven system, led by the person who built it, alongside the people who use it.

Let's talk

Help shape the standard for global health supply chains.

Ministries, funders and implementing partners: tell us a little about your work and we'll follow up to tailor Akiba Health to your priorities.

Explore the live demo →